Weekly Analysis XAU/USD - Week Apr 13-17 2026
Gold closes the week at $4,750 (+2.4%). Weekly/Monthly analysis, Wyckoff, macro correlations and projection for the week of Apr 13-17 2026. CPI and Core PCE as catalysts.
Week Summary (Apr 6-10)
Analysis in Higher Timeframes
Wyckoff Reading — Weekly
Current Phase: TRANSITION — Ranging
Range between $3,886 and $5,602. Wait for phase definition.
| Event | Price | Description |
|---|---|---|
| range_high | $5,602 | |
| range_low | $3,886 |
Key Levels for the Week (Apr 13-17 2026)
Resistance Levels
| Level | Type | Strength | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| $4,761 | BSL/Resistance | Immediate | +$11 |
| $4,783 | BSL/Resistance | Medium | +$33 |
| $4,850 | BSL/Resistance | Strong | +$100 |
| $4,900 | BSL/Resistance | Strong | +$150 |
Support Levels
| Level | Type | Strength | Distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| $4,731 | SSL/Support | Immediate | -$19 |
| $4,699 | SSL/Support | Medium | -$51 |
| $4,650 | SSL/Support | Strong | -$100 |
| $4,600 | SSL/Support | Strong | -$150 |
Expected Range: $4,731 - $4,900
3 Scenarios for the Week of Apr 13-17 2026
Macro Events of the Week
| Day | Time (Chile) | Event | Impact | Effect on Gold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | 12:30 CL | Initial Jobless Claims | MEDIUM | High = Gold rises. Low = Gold falls. |
Weekly Scorecard
| Criteria | Value |
|---|---|
| Bias | BEARISH |
| Score | -3/10 |
| Confidence | Medium |
| Minimum R:R | 1:2 |
| Max Risk per Trade | 0.5% |
| Entries this Week | Premium (see plans) |
| Recommended Sessions | London KZ, NY KZ |
| Day to Avoid | Monday |
Summary in Numbers
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Weekly Close | $4,750 |
| Weekly Low | $4,601 |
| Weekly High | $4,858 |
| Weekly Range | $257 |
| Daily ATR | $0 (HIGH) |
| Wyckoff | transition Ranging |
| Bias | BEARISH (score -3/10) |
| Resistance Levels | $4,761, $4,783, $4,850, $4,900 |
| Support Levels | $4,731, $4,699, $4,650, $4,600 |
| Recommended Risk | 0.5% per trade |
| Entries | Premium only (see plans) |
Conclusion
Gold closed the week at $4,750 (+2.4%). Weekly bias: BEARISH (score -3/10). Volatility regime: HIGH. The week of Apr 13-17 2026 will be marked by price action and structure definition.
We will update with daily analysis during the week. Next analysis: Pre-Asia Monday.
Glossary of Terms
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Wyckoff Accumulation | Phase where institutions buy gradually. Includes: SC, AR, ST, SOS, LPS. |
| Selling Climax (SC) | Point of maximum selling with extreme volume. Smart money buys retail capitulation. |
| Sign of Strength (SOS) | Strong rally that confirms institutional demand. |
| Last Point of Support (LPS) | Last pullback before Markup. Best buying entry. |
| CHoCH | Change of Character. First break of structure in opposite direction. |
| BOS | Break of Structure. Confirms trend continuation. |
| FVG | Fair Value Gap. Price imbalance that tends to fill. |
| BSL / SSL | Buy-Side / Sell-Side Liquidity. Accumulated stops above/below. |
| ATR | Average True Range. Measures volatility. High ATR = wider SLs. |
| NFP | Non-Farm Payrolls. US employment report. Moves Gold significantly. |
| DXY | Dollar Index. Inverse correlation with Gold. |
Pre-session reports with entry setups
Before every session you get the likely setups with exact entry, SL and TP, correlations with DXY, Oil and Yields, macro news of the day, and a liquidity map. You reach the market with a plan.
Disclaimer
Educational and informational content. This is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Trading involves risk of capital loss. Past results do not guarantee future results. Do your own research (DYOR).