Analysis XAU/USD Pre-London Mon 13 April - Gold at $4,707, Bearish bias
XAU/USD at $4,707. 4H Structure BEARISH. Wyckoff: transition. 2 active setups. Score -8.
In summary
Gold down 0.9% and closed at $4,707. It was a day of moderate movement — the price moved $46 between its lowest point ($4,694) and highest ($4,740).
The trend is bearish (high confidence, score -8). Sellers dominate. If it doesn’t recover resistance, it’s likely to keep falling.
Why? Bond yields are rising (bad for gold); silver down 2.8% (sign of weakness in metals); the dollar is strengthening (pressures gold downward).
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Technical analysis
Gold closed on Mon 13 April at $4,707 (down 0.90%). Structure 4H: BEARISH. Wyckoff Ranging. Daily range: $46 ($4,694 - $4,740). Score: -8 BEARISH.
The day in detail
Act 1 — Asia (21:00-04:00 Chile): Gold rose $54 (1.2%), from $4,671 to $4,726. Moderate range of $39.
Act 2 — London (04:00-09:00 Chile): Gold fell $19 (0.4%), from $4,726 to $4,707. Moderate range of $37.
Correlations
DXY rising (+0.33%) — USD strength pressures Gold. The inverse correlation is active against us.
Silver -2.8% — negative. Widespread weakness in precious metals.
Yields rising (+0.93%) — pressure on Gold. Higher bond yields directly compete with gold.
Market Maker
Institutions are distributing on rallies. Upside breakouts are potential traps.
The complete Market Maker reading (BSL/SSL, institutional play and scenarios) is available in the premium plan.
Scenarios
Scenario 1 — Retracement to resistance and rejection (50%): Gold rises to nearby resistance and is rejected. Sellers defend resistance. Continuation bearish toward support zone.
Scenario 2 — Consolidation in range (30%): Gold stays between nearby support-resistance without direction. Await catalyst.
Scenario 3 — Upside breakout (20%): Gold breaks nearby resistance with 1H close above. Bias change. Cancel shorts.
What to do
2 active setups. Favorite: SHORT Support breakdown. Exact entry, SL and TP available in the premium plan.
The key resistance is the level to watch. If it rejects, continuation bearish. If it breaks with 1H close, cancel shorts. Exact levels in the premium plan.
Analysis generated by the Liquidity Hunters team. This analysis is educational and is not financial advice. Trading carries the risk of capital loss.
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Disclaimer
Educational and informational content. This is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Trading involves risk of capital loss. Past results do not guarantee future results. Do your own research (DYOR).