XAU/USD SMC/ICT Analysis Today — Pre-Asia Setup (Apr 14)
XAU/USD at $4,790. 4H Structure RANGE. Wyckoff: transition. 2 active setups. Score +3.
Summary
Gold rose 1.1% and closed at $4,790. It was a day of moderate movement — the price moved $66 between its lowest point ($4,731) and highest ($4,797).
The trend is bullish (high confidence, score +3). Large institutions are buying on pullbacks. If the price holds above the key support level, it’s likely to rise in coming sessions.
Why? Bond yields are declining (good for gold, because gold competes with bonds); silver rose 3.0% (when silver rises strongly, gold tends to follow).
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Technical analysis
Gold closed on April 14 at $4,790 (up 1.05%). Structure 4H: RANGE. Wyckoff Ranging. Day range: $66 ($4,731 - $4,797). Score: +3 BULLISH.
Session summary
Session with moderate volatility. Range of $66 ($4,731 - $4,797). The price closed near the key support level at $4,777 — decision zone.
Correlations
DXY declining (-0.19%) — dollar weakness favors Gold. Inverse correlation active. While DXY continues to weaken, Gold has tailwinds.
Silver +3.0% — positive. Precious metals move in the same direction.
Yields declining (-0.47%) — positive for Gold. Lower bond yields favor assets without yield like gold.
Market Maker
The market is in a range. Institutions accumulate in the lower part and distribute in the upper part.
The complete Market Maker reading (BSL/SSL, institutional game and scenarios) is available in the premium plan.
Scenarios
Scenario 1 — Healthy pullback and continuation (50%): Gold retraces to $4,777-$4,770 and bounces. Buyers defend support. Continuation toward $4,797.
Scenario 2 — Range consolidation (30%): Gold stays between $4,777-$4,797 without clear direction. Volume declines.
Scenario 3 — Support break (20%): Gold loses $4,777 with 1H close below. Return to $4,745. Cancel longs.
What to do
2 active setups. Favorite: LONG Pullback to support. Exact entry, SL and TP available in the premium plan.
The key support of the day is the line of defense. If it holds, bullish continuation. If it breaks with 1H close, cancel longs. Exact levels in the premium plan.
Analysis generated by the Liquidity Hunters team. This analysis is educational and not financial advice. Trading involves risk of capital loss.
Disclaimer
Educational and informational content. This is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Trading involves risk of capital loss. Past results do not guarantee future results. Do your own research (DYOR).